Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 1.162318 1.351392 1.554065 1.786639 2.045287 2.323254 2.643696
2025-03-02 0.817139 1.073596 1.373866 1.747255 2.194771 2.709521 3.341741
2025-03-09 0.613972 0.904096 1.272112 1.762751 2.388533 3.148558 4.128939
2025-03-16 0.463503 0.761997 1.170257 1.749870 2.530270 3.522569 4.855144
2025-03-23 0.383228 0.694419 1.148597 1.827994 2.783545 4.043099 5.787684
2025-03-30 0.318376 0.633502 1.122355 1.889244 3.010386 4.535100 6.703332
2025-04-06 0.249614 0.549625 1.046027 1.863640 3.106032 4.848111 7.389136
2025-04-13 0.206524 0.499066 1.011910 1.893188 3.277032 5.267614 8.232356
2025-04-20 0.169091 0.449491 0.970342 1.903121 3.414447 5.641087 9.022174
2025-04-27 0.139191 0.407046 0.933536 1.914186 3.550141 6.013956 9.821401
2025-05-04 0.112608 0.364259 0.888603 1.904561 3.648867 6.332524 10.550167
2025-05-11 0.088098 0.318636 0.830138 1.863062 3.689696 6.561428 11.151503
2025-05-18 0.072454 0.291153 0.805166 1.882212 3.836843 6.967769 12.044961
2025-05-25 0.056257 0.256204 0.758441 1.855380 3.903760 7.252225 12.767360
2025-06-01 0.046143 0.235256 0.738715 1.877863 4.056471 7.678106 13.719644
2025-06-08 0.036210 0.210249 0.704630 1.867052 4.147653 8.006682 14.530720
2025-06-15 0.032056 0.204234 0.715813 1.950402 4.414233 8.632472 15.826509
2025-06-22 0.027729 0.195510 0.718469 2.015341 4.649421 9.213612 17.067381
2025-06-29 0.021185 0.173362 0.681075 1.988658 4.709271 9.500771 17.845277
2025-07-06 0.017449 0.161751 0.670350 2.019831 4.880632 9.982455 18.949188
2025-07-13 0.013898 0.148378 0.651667 2.030320 5.011238 10.397303 19.954229
2025-07-20 0.011030 0.136368 0.634433 2.041973 5.143844 10.818993 20.980412
2025-07-27 0.008388 0.122937 0.609492 2.031863 5.230998 11.162337 21.884360